Angela, its possible to over analise anything..and this industry is a good example. that s why in my experience most people talk themselves out of it in the end - which is good for existing players I guess
However, Pod talks lots of sense
Essentially i think that unless you feel that property will rise in the medium to long term, then you should not be thinking of buying it.
For example, where i am ..prices are 'slipping slowly' not crashing!,,yes VOLUME sales are down...but thats a different story. I look at it more analytically than sellers who are fed on Daily Mail reports and Trevor McDonald stuff on TV
This is just good old fashioned horse trading, You have to take your own view - then act,
Example
Ive just bought a house for 101k...7 year old immaculate 3 bed semi
it was on the market at 149,950
it had 3 offers in 4 months
140k/143k/148k
seller took 148k bid
sale collapsed 2 days before exchange..mort issues (surprise)
they were committed to buy a house in Scotland and couldn't/didn't want to pull out
Took my offer of 101k (32% less than a sale that was proceeding on it - sellers dint change mind..couldn't get mortgage)...it sold for 94k seven years ago when new!!
Now....my thinking is..'thats a bloody good deal'...no sophisticated analysis needed from me on this one
It will rent at 595 easily..needs no work either
My subconcious thinking here is....
do i think it will ever be worth less than 101k?...answer - NO
do i think i will ever had it empty for ages?..answer NO
do i think in say 10 years time this house will be worth over 200k? answer yes
Now. time will tell if im right...but my point is..i went for it rather than frighten myself by concocting some negativity
The secret is every time...buy extemely (embarrassingly) low..and stick to your guns....
Now is the time to not just make low low offers..but not have to justify them much either. everyone knows courtesy of our lovable tabloid press that the world is going to end soon..so lets thank them for their over reactions and use that hype (yes there are problems..but not as big as you would believe) as a massive lever when we are explaining to people about our caution and the fact hat we dont have to buy at a ll..unles the price is attractive enough for us to do so.
My point, if ive not made it....start to collect properties at massive discounts, that stack up and will rent out..as long as you believe that property will rise long term.
Not as easy as it is simple...but certainly not impossible either!