"Surely most people do NOT sell BMV; that is what makes finding BMV purchases so challenging. This is reinforced by the fact that most buyers do not even know about BMV. Though property investment is common place, attacking a sector for a markets downfall is not viable -- surely we should be looking further a field. Looking back at market crashes someone always gets blamed; however, it has almost never been the right people"
Hi Jonathon. You misunderstand me.
What I am saying is everyone is scared. And no one wants to pay "full market value" (that is, last month's price.) Everyone who buys now is seeking a bargain, whether they think of themselves as BMV investors or not. So to make a sale, every vendor is going to have to cut prices BELOW MARKET.
So, if virtually all the sales are taking place below last month's price, then this month's average price will be lower, and that will be the new market value. Then the cycle of discount and price cuts get repeated from a new, lower market value.
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"I am going to concentrate my efforts on Spain, Turkey and Asia in the hope of securing a more financially stable future"
Fine. But how can you handle three markets at once? When I decided it was time to invest elsewhere, and the game was up in the UK, I left England. I now live in the country where I invest, and I understand the market values the properties that I am buying, better than the average local EA in this market. If you want expert results, you'd better behave like an expert, not a newbie chasing someone else's idea of "hotspots."
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"I'm possibly moving to Spain next year and believe it wise to focus my attention on the Spanish market."
Well the Spanish market is in full slide-mode, at the moment - like the US - from what I read. In a market like that, banks are very nervous, and you will have trouble finding a bank that will lend to you. If you do, you can expect them to lend something like 70 percent (or less) of the house price, and the bank will use the LESSER of market value, or what you paid. So the old BMV game of fooling the banks, and getting them to lend against a fictional higher market value will not work.
You may find that you will have to be patient, and wait at least another year or two for a bottom. Even then, prices may not rise much after "the bottom." My own view is that the only homes that will rise much are the ones in the right location. Others will hit the bottom, and get stuck there... for years and years to come.
And... I have my own ideas about what is a good location. Want to know what I am thinking?